Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.352992 2.716298 3.123884 3.616300 4.196778 4.861341 5.682710
2025-03-09 1.812962 2.291115 2.884439 3.680477 4.729126 6.075194 7.952899
2025-03-16 1.493675 2.002395 2.676953 3.647893 5.027752 6.945795 9.861993
2025-03-23 1.281838 1.800921 2.526733 3.632720 5.305592 7.790510 11.854645
2025-03-30 1.110152 1.621770 2.369616 3.565468 5.473328 8.474934 13.709145
2025-04-06 1.005581 1.521912 2.307805 3.621507 5.823863 9.481005 16.259607
2025-04-13 0.891017 1.389759 2.175602 3.540464 5.929426 10.089211 18.229535
2025-04-20 0.840327 1.350832 2.183682 3.687404 6.438052 11.467951 21.884754
2025-04-27 0.769099 1.268834 2.108981 3.677966 6.661166 12.357898 24.769312
2025-05-04 0.728844 1.233913 2.108924 3.799532 7.142623 13.816020 29.137998
2025-05-11 0.678034 1.174502 2.057910 3.817512 7.422393 14.914433 32.965066
2025-05-18 0.637577 1.129020 2.026314 3.867173 7.771202 16.213489 37.551607
2025-05-25 0.581257 1.054840 1.944782 3.832238 7.994925 17.413839 42.573262
2025-06-01 0.540973 1.007738 1.912316 3.900760 8.476724 19.358100 50.262083
2025-06-08 0.495312 0.944122 1.837866 3.865994 8.714407 20.772772 56.994109
2025-06-15 0.457131 0.890642 1.776664 3.849807 8.992273 22.355847 64.787082
2025-06-22 0.418666 0.832002 1.696936 3.778066 9.118355 23.571372 71.906129
2025-06-29 0.395143 0.801871 1.674538 3.837845 9.595051 25.877715 83.517668
2025-07-06 0.363096 0.749845 1.597239 3.751396 9.664336 27.029177 91.597773
2025-07-13 0.351200 0.740603 1.615534 3.908148 10.441773 30.533695 109.925930
2025-07-20 0.329362 0.706641 1.572159 3.898078 10.738396 32.608053 123.634067
2025-07-27 0.317868 0.695073 1.580553 4.027795 11.482521 36.385053 146.358860
2025-08-03 0.300959 0.669022 1.550475 4.046983 11.890460 39.129347 165.975197